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Introduction
9-Spot Survey
The best Las Vegas keno is always waiting at Boulder Station. Winning big has never been easier—or more affordable—than it is with Las Vegas keno at Boulder. We offer all of your favorite keno specials—including Five & Dime, Perfect Three, Mega Ten, $1.25 Keno Mania, and our fan-favorite $2 Four Spot Special. Take a seat in our intimate 18-seat keno lounge, or play at an array of locations across. In 1993, 46 casinos in the Las Vegas area offered live keno games; a year ago, there were only 27. Stauffer also studied keno’s well-known bad odds and found that they’d gotten worse. In 1993, the range of the house edge for the games studied ran from a low of 21.37% to a high of 33.14%.
In 2001 I did a comparative study of pick-9 keno games in Las Vegas. The following table presents my results in order or return, from highest to lowest. Since I did this survey, keno has been on the decline, and many of these casinos took out their live keno games.
Las Vegas Live Keno Survey
| Casino | Return |
|---|---|
| Silverton | 79.85% |
| Arizona Charlie's | 75.13% |
| Frontier | 74.83% |
| Jerry's Nugget | 74.78% |
| Nevada Palace | 74.62% |
| Orleans | 74.39% |
| Gold Coast | 74.39% |
| Sam's Town | 74.28% |
| Las Vegas Club | 72.82% |
| Rio | 72.76% |
| Mirage | 71.87% |
| Bellagio | 71.87% |
| Eldorado (Henderson) | 71.38% |
| Golden Nugget | 71.38% |
| MGM Grand | 71.13% |
| New York New York | 71.13% |
| Primm Valley Resorts | 70.86% |
| Hilton | 70.80% |
| Fitzgeralds | 70.80% |
| Western | 70.80% |
| Sahara | 70.80% |
| Western | 70.35% |
| Luxor | 70.23% |
| Circus Circus | 70.23% |
| Main Street Station | 70.12% |
| California | 70.12% |
| Riviera | 69.66% |
| Stardust | 69.44% |
| Plaza | 69.18% |
| San Remo | 69.08% |
| Aladdin | 68.52% |
| Fremont | 68.52% |
| Four Queens | 68.52% |
| Bally's | 68.17% |
| Treasure Island | 67.54% |
| Caesars Palace | 67.54% |
| Station Casinos | 66.54% |
| Palms | 66.24% |
| Monte Carlo | 65.26% |
Written by:Michael Shackleford
Introduction
Stations Casinos of Las Vegas offer five progressive keno games. Four of them, a pick-6, pick-7, pick-8, and pick-9 are called 'Jumbo Keno Progressive' games. The fifth, a pick-10 game, is referred to as the Mega 10. The rule card indicates the Mega 10 is not exclusive to Station Casinos, but could be found other places in Nevada. All Jumbo Progressive games are exclusively for $1 bets and the Mega 10 is $1.50.
Pick 6
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for the Pick 6 Jumbo Keno Progressive. In the table, the value for the progressive jackpot for catching all six numbers is left at zero. The lower right cell shows the value of the fixed pays 40.36%.
Pick 6 Jumbo Keno Progressive
| Catch | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | $0 | 38,760 | 0.000129 | 0.000000 |
| 5 | $70 | 930,240 | 0.003096 | 0.216695 |
| 4 | $2 | 8,575,650 | 0.028538 | 0.057076 |
| 3 | $1 | 39,010,800 | 0.129820 | 0.129820 |
| 2 | $0 | 92,650,650 | 0.308321 | 0.000000 |
| 1 | $0 | 109,230,240 | 0.363495 | 0.000000 |
| 0 | $0 | 50,063,860 | 0.166602 | 0.000000 |
| Total | 300,500,200 | 1.000000 | 0.403590 |
For every $1,000 in the progressive meter, the return goes up by 12.90%. To reach a break-even point, with a 100% return, the meter would have to $4,623.87.
Pick 7
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for the Pick 7 Jumbo Keno Progressive. In the table, the value for the progressive jackpot for catching all seven numbers is left at zero. The lower right cell shows the value of the fixed pays 44.98%.
Pick 7 Jumbo Keno Progressive
| Catch | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | $0 | 77,520 | 0.000024 | 0.000000 |
| 6 | $200 | 2,325,600 | 0.000732 | 0.146415 |
| 5 | $15 | 27,442,080 | 0.008639 | 0.129578 |
| 4 | $1 | 165,795,900 | 0.052191 | 0.052191 |
| 3 | $0 | 555,903,900 | 0.174993 | 0.000000 |
| 2 | $0 | 1,037,687,280 | 0.326654 | 0.000000 |
| 1 | $0 | 1,001,277,200 | 0.315193 | 0.000000 |
| 0 | $1 | 386,206,920 | 0.121574 | 0.121574 |
| Total | 3,176,716,400 | 1.000000 | 0.449758 |
For every $1,000 in the progressive meter, the return goes up by 2.44%. To reach a break-even point, with a 100% return, the meter would have to $22,548.53.
Pick 8
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for the Pick 8 Jumbo Keno Progressive. In the table, the value for the progressive jackpot for catching all eight numbers is left at zero. The lower right cell shows the value of the fixed pays 50.97%.
Pick 8 Jumbo Keno Progressive
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | $0 | 125,970 | 0.000004 | 0.000000 |
| 7 | $1500 | 4,651,200 | 0.000160 | 0.240683 |
| 6 | $75 | 68,605,200 | 0.002367 | 0.177504 |
| 5 | $5 | 530,546,880 | 0.018303 | 0.091513 |
| 4 | $0 | 2,362,591,575 | 0.081504 | 0.000000 |
| 3 | $0 | 6,226,123,680 | 0.214786 | 0.000000 |
| 2 | $0 | 9,512,133,400 | 0.328146 | 0.000000 |
| 1 | $0 | 7,724,138,400 | 0.266464 | 0.000000 |
| 0 | $0 | 2,558,620,845 | 0.088266 | 0.000000 |
| Total | 28,987,537,150 | 1.000000 | 0.509699 |
For every $10,000 in the progressive meter, the return goes up by 4.35%. To reach a break-even point, with a 100% return, the meter would have to $112,825.38.
Pick 9
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for the Pick 9 Jumbo Keno Progressive. In the table, the value for the progressive jackpot for catching all nine numbers is left at zero. The lower right cell shows the value of the fixed pays 65.88%.
Station Casino Live Keno Las Vegas
Pick 9 Jumbo Keno Progressive
| Catch | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | $0 | 167,960 | 0.000001 | 0.000000 |
| 8 | $3000 | 7,558,200 | 0.000033 | 0.097777 |
| 7 | $300 | 137,210,400 | 0.000592 | 0.177504 |
| 6 | $30 | 1,326,367,200 | 0.005720 | 0.171587 |
| 5 | $3 | 7,560,293,040 | 0.032601 | 0.097804 |
| 4 | $1 | 26,461,025,640 | 0.114105 | 0.114105 |
| 3 | $0 | 57,072,800,400 | 0.246109 | 0.000000 |
| 2 | $0 | 73,379,314,800 | 0.316426 | 0.000000 |
| 1 | $0 | 51,172,416,900 | 0.220666 | 0.000000 |
| 0 | $0 | 14,783,142,660 | 0.063748 | 0.000000 |
| Total | 231,900,297,200 | 1.000000 | 0.658777 |
For every $10,000 in the progressive meter, the return goes up by 7.24%. To reach a break-even point, with a 100% return, the meter would have to $471,122.03.
Mega 10
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for the Mega 10 Keno Progressive. Unlike the games above, the Mega 10 costs $1.50 to play. In the table, the value for the progressive jackpot for catching all ten numbers is left at zero. The lower right cell shows the value of the fixed pays 35.62% of the amount bet.
Sunset Station Live Keno
Mega 10 Keno Progressive
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | $0 | 184,756 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
| 9 | $7,500.00 | 10,077,600 | 0.000006 | 0.030603 |
| 8 | $1,000.00 | 222,966,900 | 0.000135 | 0.090280 |
| 7 | $100.00 | 2,652,734,400 | 0.001611 | 0.107410 |
| 6 | $10.00 | 18,900,732,600 | 0.011479 | 0.076529 |
| 5 | $1.50 | 84,675,282,048 | 0.051428 | 0.051428 |
| 4 | $0 | 242,559,401,700 | 0.147319 | 0.000000 |
| 3 | $0 | 440,275,888,800 | 0.267402 | 0.000000 |
| 2 | $0 | 486,137,960,550 | 0.295257 | 0.000000 |
| 1 | $0 | 295,662,853,200 | 0.179571 | 0.000000 |
| 0 | 75,394,027,566 | 0.045791 | 0.000000 | |
| Total | 1,646,492,110,120 | 1.000000 | 0.356249 |
For every $1,000,000 in the progressive meter, the return goes up by 7.48%. To reach a break-even point, with a 100% return, the meter would have to $8,605,379.94.
External Links
Discussion about the Jumbo Keno Progressive in my forum at Wizard of Vegas.
Written by: Michael Shackleford